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Thursday, May 6, 2021

THE DUNNING KRUEGER EFFECT


THE DUNNING KRUGER EFFECT 

It is a common tendency for some people to overestimate their competence in one or other areas. They may exhibit utmost confidence in areas where they have no knowledge. This effect is known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. The Dunning-Kruger effect was coined after two psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. It is defined as a type of cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence in a specific area largely overestimate their knowledge.

The scope of people's ignorance is often invisible to them. This  ignorance of ignorance arises because of lack of expertise and knowledge.

  I describe the Dunning–Kruger effect, in which poor performers in many social and intellectual domains seem largely unaware of just how deficient their expertise is.

 Their deficits leave them with a double burden—not only does their incomplete and misguided knowledge lead them to make mistakes but those exact same deficits also prevent them from recognizing when they are making mistakes and other people choosing more wisely.

 Khan the London mayor is an example. At the height of the covid pandemic he said London Transport is safe and it does not matter if carraiges are crowded, a very very stupid idea but said with the utmost sincerity .He has made other sincere comments that angered many people such as "people in London must get used to terrorism".

The film dumber and dumber is an extreme example of the Dunning Kruger effect (in Italian scemo piu scemo).


I think that a comment I heard the other day was spot on regarding this  "When a leftist does not understand something they call it fascist" (These are the juvenile-minded would be leftists, not a true leftist who one may respect.) This relates to the Dunning Krueger effect where totally unfounded belief or belief in our ability is total without realistic possibility and if something cannot be explained a label is put on it. 

EXAMPLE 1

 Employers conduct a performance review, but some employees are not open to constructive criticism due to the Dunning-Kruger effect. The employees start to make excuses, such as the employer doesn’t like me rather than finding and correcting their own faults.

EXAMPLE 2 

This happened to me. A student asked to explain globalization came out with a load of old mumbo jumbo and I could not understand anything. I gave her 4 despite giving her many chances to explain, Result in her Mother rings   up angry saying her daughter is victimized 

EXAMPLE 3 Let's say you are a leftist or a liberal or a rightist. You read something or hear something that might be totally logical and truthful but as soon as you start to read it you think it goes against your preconceived ideas you then say this is rubbish but do not understand that you have said it just because it goes against your belief, You are therefore intellectually dead and cannot honestly debate something.

The Dunning-Kruger Effect - Cognitive Bias - Why Incompetent People Think They Are Competent - YouTube

1. See the video and comment

2. An expert studies one thing yet many people question their findings. Explain why?.

3. Do you think you are suffering from this?

4. I think this effect is very damaging for academia and for those that lead a country or in important areas of administration, the reason is that an idiot who seems absolutely convincing and  in a position of power  can do extreme damage to a country .I also get the feeling that politics are full of these kinds of people . What do you think?



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